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Richard Denniss: ‘Housing is not the only area where politicians ignore good evidence’

October 25, 2025
in Architecture
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Dr Richard Denniss is the co-chief government officer on the Australia Institute, a distinguished Australian economist, creator and public coverage commentator. A former columnist for the Australian Monetary Assessment and The Guardian, Denniss has written six books and is revealed recurrently in educational journals.

Following Denniss’s presentation on the Robin Boyd Basis’s latest Dwelling in Australia discussion board, he spoke with ArchitectureAu affiliate editor Lucia Amies concerning the authorities’s myths round housing and what’s holding us again from radically reshaping our housing tradition.

Lucia Amies: As many people are nicely conscious, home costs have been rising sooner than incomes. In your presentation on the latest Dwelling in Australia discussion board, you famous that the Australian authorities’s response has been to reply with handouts for first-home consumers, however that, ultimately, these solely inflate housing costs additional by placing extra money into the fingers of these shopping for. What do you suppose is holding us again from breaking this cycle? Do we have to restructure the system, and if that’s the case, how can we reinvent the wheel?

Richard Denniss: Properly, it’s an enormous query. My reply begins with the truth that there isn’t any proof that anybody on this authorities or the earlier authorities is attempting to make homes cheaper. They’re not.

Folks hear the time period housing affordability mentioned loads, and so they suppose that that signifies that governments need home costs to fall. However this prime minister and the previous prime minister didn’t make a secret of claiming, “I don’t need home costs to fall.” So, we’ve this phony debate the place we speak about a housing disaster and other people need to consider that signifies that we’re attempting to construct so many extra homes that they’ll get low cost. However to be crystal clear, nobody who owns a couple of home desires home costs to fall.

Sadly, individuals consider that as a result of politicians speak about housing disaster, they’re honest about doing one thing about it – that’s not going to occur. The prime minister himself has stated that the federal government’s newest coverage, the 5 % deposit coverage, will result in greater home costs. That is unlucky. Folks need to admit the apparent. We’re pretending we need to clear up an issue for individuals who don’t personal homes. Really, much more individuals need home costs to go up than go down. Politicians are simply engaged on a option to politely admit that they’ve obtained no intention of constructing them cheaper.

There isn’t any proof that anybody on this authorities or the earlier authorities is attempting to make homes cheaper. They’re not.

LA: As you’ve stated, the vast majority of voters personal homes and thus need to see home costs go up. I consider it as a cultural downside as a lot as it’s an financial one. In Australia, housing is seen primarily as a monetary asset and funding. Tax breaks gasoline this angle by enabling householders simpler entry to purchasing a second, third or fourth residence, and that shapes this concept of housing as a commodity slightly than a necessity. I feel it’s this cultural framing round housing as a type of actual property slightly than as shelter that we have to shift. Would you agree?

RD: Properly, I agree it must occur if you’d like home costs to fall, nevertheless it doesn’t must occur should you like issues the way in which they’re. And that’s a part of the issue: everybody concerned on this debate is speaking about one another. So sure, should you wished home costs to fall; sure, should you wished low-income earners to have the ability to purchase their very own residence and even lease a house close to the place they work; in case your goal was to unravel poor individuals’s issues, then sure, we completely want a cultural shift.

However should you personal two or extra properties, you don’t suppose we want a cultural shift in any respect; you need home costs to go up. Till we admit that that battle exists and that our parliament has to select a workforce; that there are laborious selections to be made with winners and losers, and that nothing the parliament can do could make everybody completely satisfied on the identical time, then this bait will simply hold operating.

To be clear, almost each different nation on the planet has cheaper homes than us. If we did change our tradition in ways in which resemble almost each different nation on the planet, then sure, completely, Australians would spend much less on housing, however that signifies that the individuals who personal two or extra homes would expertise capital losses when their actual property portfolio falls in worth. They usually actually don’t need that to occur – nor, it appears, do the politicians who personal two, three, 4, 20 homes themselves.

LA: On that word, you stated on the discussion board that though politicians have a vested curiosity in seeing home costs rise in order that they make beneficial properties from their property investments, their high precedence is to keep up their seats and win individuals’s votes. Due to this, you recommended lobbying as an efficient technique to advocate change.

RD: Completely. There’s loads of politicians that personal a number of houses who want to inform themselves that nothing wants to vary. However I guarantee you, if the vast majority of the individuals who vote for them and their citizens really feel strongly, they’ll positively seize their consideration. Huge stress is placed on the system when as little as 500 individuals in an citizens say, “Properly, you recognize what, should you gained’t take heed to me, I assume I’ll need to vote for another person.” There’s nothing sophisticated about this. It’s actually how democracy is designed to work.

LA: I feel most architects’ model of lobbying is to make use of tasks as a convincing demonstration of what works. Ought to we be broadening our view and looking out on the greater financial image?

RD: So long as architects suppose, “I’m not an accountant or an economist, so I higher not discuss concerning the cash, I’ll simply discuss concerning the homes,” they’ll lose, as a result of Australia is a really rich nation. If we’re wealthy sufficient to afford to spend $60 billion on six submarines, nicely, absolutely we’re wealthy sufficient to afford to put money into some new housing choices if we need to. However advocates for brand spanking new housing don’t need to admit that most individuals both don’t care, or worse, are literally proud of the way in which issues are. Till the people who find themselves unhappy about the way in which issues are make extra noise, then democracy is doing democracy’s job when it retains issues the way in which they’re.

So long as architects suppose, “I’m not an accountant or an economist, so I higher not discuss concerning the cash, I’ll simply discuss concerning the homes,” they’ll lose.

LA: It’s irritating. If we think about the urgency round our scarcity of housing, significantly social and public housing, why isn’t the federal government taking extra possession and constructing it themselves?

RD: As a result of the newspapers usually are not stuffed with tales concerning the want for public housing. The newspapers are stuffed with tales about how governments must rezone land to permit property builders to construct extra homes extra shortly.

Whereas I’m sympathetic, I feel authorities coverage is a failure, and I feel we needs to be spending much more on public housing. Nevertheless, I do know that I’m within the minority – I simply don’t suppose it’s true that most individuals need the federal government to spend so much extra money on public housing. Most individuals don’t give it some thought and most of the people in all probability consider that it wouldn’t work.

To be clear, this isn’t an issue that’s distinctive to architects. Australia’s roads are stuffed with the most important vehicles which have ever pushed on them. There’s not a transport skilled on the planet that thinks having the highest 4 promoting vehicles in Australia be cab utes is smart, however surprisingly, we do it. There’s not a local weather scientist within the nation that thinks subsidising the development of latest gasoline and coal tasks is smart, however nonetheless we do it. Housing is just not the one space the place politicians ignore good proof, and concentrate on options that make most individuals completely satisfied and minimise the quantity of people that really feel unhappy.

LA: One thing you simply touched on is the position of mainstream media in propagating sure messages round housing. Many Australians have been introduced up on the “Australian dream” of proudly owning a indifferent home on a quarter-acre block. Nonetheless at this time, greenfield housing developments on our cities’ fringes proceed to understand this ideally suited – or a poorer model of it – all of the whereas compromising true housing “affordability” with their lack of supporting infrastructure and poor passive design. With suburban sprawl an more and more unsustainable mannequin – financially, socially and environmentally – what new “Australian dream” do we have to aspire to?

RD: In Australia, the nationwide dream of the freestanding home on the quarter acre block has been translated from “someplace for the children to play” to “if I don’t purchase freestanding housing, I’ll be poor the remainder of my life.”

I don’t suppose persons are determined to stay within the type of homes that property builders maximise their revenue by growing. However I feel the explanation so many individuals purchase these merchandise from these property builders has obtained little or no to do with the property and all the things to do with the assumption that in the event that they don’t get a patch of land with a home on it, they’ll retire in poverty. Individuals are complicated why they purchase the homes they do with the type of homes that individuals need.

There’s actually nothing stopping Australia from radically reshaping not simply the housing market, however the society during which we stay. We was completely different. We didn’t use to behave like this. We didn’t use to speak like this. We didn’t use to stay like this – and nearly nobody else on the planet talks like this or lives like this. I feel the strangest factor could be to suppose that the long run seems extra like this. It is going to change. We’re simply haggling over when and in what approach.



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